Sunday Night Football Preview, Cowboys visit Green Bay
2010-11-05

Sportsbook.com Cowboys vs. Packers Betting Odds: Green Bay -7.5, Total: 45.5

Dallas tries to avoid its first five-game losing streak since 1997 as it travels to Lambeau Field for a Sunday night matchup with Green Bay. The injury-riddled Packers are coming off an impressive 9-0 shutout over the Jets and are looking for their third straight win before their bye week arrives Monday. Dallas is the biggest disappointment in the NFL so far tallying a 1-6 record both straight-up and against the spread (ATS).

Dallas has allowed 33.5 PPG during the four-game losing skid, allowing its opponents to gain an average of 151 rushing YPG. Dallas also has 11 turnovers in the four-game stretch and just 3.8 yards per carry. The good news is that backup QB Jon Kitna has played pretty well in place of injured starter Tony Romo. The 38-year-old Kitna completed nearly 70 percent of his passes and threw for 379 yards in last week’s loss to Jacksonville. All three of Kitna’s interceptions bounced off receivers’ hands. He also threw for 187 yards, two touchdowns and no picks against the Giants two weeks ago when Romo broke his collarbone.

Green Bay’s defense has been stellar as of late, pitching a 9-0 shutout over the Jets last Sunday. The Packers have allowed just 17.0 PPG this year (fourth-best in NFL) and rank third in the league in sacks (24) and interceptions (12). NFL sacks leader Clay Matthews is expected to play despite being held out of practice with a calf injury. QB Aaron Rodgers will be without his No. 2 receiver Donald Driver, who is suffering from a quadriceps injury. This isn’t a major loss considering Driver did not have a catch in his past two games.

Last season, the teams played a defensive slugfest in Lambeau, with the Packers winning 17-7 on two fourth-quarter touchdowns and three Dallas turnovers.

These two NFL betting  trends show why Dallas will fail to cover the point spread yet again.

Play On - Any team (GREEN BAY) - good team (outgain opp. by 0.4 to 1 YPP) against an average team (+/- 0.4 YPP), after being outgained by opp by 100 or more total yards last game. (77-35 since 1983.) (68.8%, +38.5 units. Rating = 3*).

Mike McCarthy is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) off a non-conference game as the coach of GREEN BAY.

The average score was GREEN BAY 26.8, OPPONENT 19.2 - (Rating = 3*).

61 percent of Sportsbook.com bettors are backing the ‘over’ and here is why:

The last 13 times these teams squared off, the ‘over’ covered 10 times.

Wade Phillips is 14-3 OVER (+10.7 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 as the coach of DALLAS. The average score was DALLAS 25.4, OPPONENT 25.9 - (Rating = 3*).

For more NFL betting trends and to check out the NFL Week 9 betting odds, head over to Sportsbook.com now.

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Glossary of Football Betting Terms
2010-08-23

This glossary of football betting terms, also known as football betting dictionary, provides terms that are associated with football along with the meaning and usage or the terms.

This can prove to be a good reference point for both experienced bettors and for those out to place their first football betting experience. Always play at a trusted book like www.sportsbook.com far and away the top book for USA players.
Spread Betting: Placing a wager on an events outcome with the pay-off being based on the accuracy of the wager

Betting Odds: They are money line odds, which is the even money on your return. It is the amount gained on 100 stake when positive while the state needed to win the same stake when negative.

Betting Systems: It is the classification observed by bettors after closely following the trend in betting business and dodging the odds.
Chasing: Chasing is the covetousness to recover a lost bet. The consequent bet is typically a larger sum as compared to the previous lost bet and the desire to win usually ends up in loosing more and more. Therefore a good money management should be planned ahead.

Money Management: This is a vital term that saves you from losing money and tread carefully while putting money on stake.
Live Betting: It is the hottest trend nowadays where the bet is placed on the live match. The flow of the game can change the odds in an instant and often leads to chasing of losses.

Achieving Parity: The perception that bookmakers try to create of an unbiased action on all the proposals of betting by competently pricing the odds in a bid to minimize their risk as compared to a single bet is termed their achieving parity.
Action: A bet or wager of any kind.

Arbitrage: Grouping of bets anticipated capitulating a positive profit, not considering the result. The prospects of arbitrage are high through mispriced odds or value bets.
Assessing Form: This refers to the study done prior to estimating the possibility for a given bet through a comprehensive research and scrutiny in which bettors consider several essential factors that can eventually affect a team’s chance for accomplishment.

Betting Market: It is an individual betting prospect or proposal on a match or event.
Bookmaker: It is an association or person who accepts bets on sporting events or other events at agreed upon odds.

Efficient Market Theory: The theory claims that all the information of the markets and trends is well known to the general public and that the odds change fast to echo new information.

Favorite: The probable winning team or player for which odd payouts are usually lower than the other proposition at hand.

“Green” Book: Is the situation where the bookmaker makes profit regardless of which outcome occurs though the amount of betting on each outcome may differ.
Fixture: Term to denote competition between two teams
Form: Assessment of a team or a player to forecast their chance to win based on their prior performances.

Handicap: A technique in football match betting when bookmakers award one team a numerical goal advantage to lure the bettors where both team has equal chance for success.

Hedging: When a bookie try to offset risk exposure to a specific outcome by placing bet on an opposite outcome for which they have already taken a large position is referred as hedging.

Overround: The total profit of the bookmaker that he earns on a certain match or wager.

“Red” Book: circumstances where a bookmaker’s risk coverage is not balanced and he do not make profit for that particular betting market.

Underdog: Team or person that is considered to be the least likely to win a Football match.

Value Bet: A bet, in which the possibility of an event occurring is higher than that perceived by the bookmaker.

Vigorish: Bookmaker’s expenses or yield profit on the total stakes collected on a match.

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NFLPS: Seattle and San Diego Strictly C-List Affair
2008-08-25

Preseason football is hard enough to figure for even an astute bettor. Take away the stars in what is supposed to be the most important of the four August adventures and betting football games like this are a real conundrum. Such are the prospects facing bettors for the Monday night preseason football game on ESPN between San Diego and Seattle.

Seattle quarterback Matt Hasselbeck has been bothered with a bad back and is questionable for Monday night’s contest, meaning back-up Seneca Wallace would be the starter and third-stringer Charlie Fyre would be moping up for the Seahawks in SoCal.

Also among those likely missing for Seattle are wide receivers Bobby Engram and Deion Branch, along with offensive linemen Sean Locklear and Chris Spencer.

San Diego’s big three highest profile players will not see action. LaDainian Tomlinson hasn’t played in an exhibition game since Howard Dean was a relevant Democratic name. Tight end Antonio Gates returned to the practice field this week from toe injury, but is not ready and Shawne Merriman is telling anyone who will listen he has career-threatening knee injury. Hopefully Merriman is overstating prognosis like he has been known to do in the past. Though not a huge name, center Nick Hardwick is a big key to Chargers offensive line and is still rehabbing bad foot and will not play here or likely season opener against Carolina.

So why bother to watch you ask? First it’s football, which by and large is good enough reason. There are several storylines that will play out, each interesting in their own right. Starting with Seattle, arguably the best player in camp the entire time is seventh round draft choice Justin Forsett, out of Cal. Forsett has been a quick, shifty runner and a solid punt returner. Seattle invested in Julius Jones and T.J. Duckett and neither has distinguished them selves. Holdover Maurice Morris was the best running back for the Seahawks last year and nothing has changed by local observers. Forsett was listed at 5’8 194, however is closer to 5’6. With cuts coming within hours of the end of this contest, coach Mike Holmgren will have difficult decision to make for a team that is 12-3 ATS in the next to last game of the preseason.

San Diego is a 6-point home favorite at Sportsbook.com and is 19-12-1 ATS when favored. Coach Norv Turner and his staff have been pleased with the play of rookie running back Jacob Hester and pleasantly surprised by undrafted free agent FB Mike Tolbert, who has made a strong case to earn a roster spot. Another rookie, CB Antoine Cason continues to play well, showing the same exact instincts as ball-hawk that he showcased in college. Right tackle Jeromey Clary might be playing himself out of right tackle starter position if he plays like he did against St. Louis.

These teams have met four of the last five years in preseason, with the Seahawks 3-2 SU and ATS. Coach Holmgren is notorious amongst bettors for losing against the spread after a win with 4-13 ATS record.

ESPN will telecast the last nationally televised preseason contest and the total of 40 might be best action play. Seattle is 6-0 OVER as an underdog, with average score being over 50 total points. The Chargers are 13-3 OVER after allowing three points or less in the first half last game, with average total score of better than 45 points.

Kickoff is at 8 Eastern.

StatFox Power Line – San Diego by 1

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